Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Charlotte
Tract 37119001910 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 5,122 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
37119001910 is a census tract in the Lake Forest area of Charlotte, NC. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,831
Renter share62.2%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$47,868
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Charlotte and the region
Centroid at 35.1947, -80.7337 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Forest scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Charlotte
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,172 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Charlotte
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Charlotte
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Charlotte
3.5
How Lake Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,386Total filings over 4 yrs
- 54.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 77.1%Peak (2005)
- 551Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 23% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lake Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.0%Housing insecurity
- 18.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.0%Food insecurity
- 31.7%SNAP enrollment
- 17.9%Transit barriers
- 23.8%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 40.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest
Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.3% across Mecklenburg County. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. SNAP participation runs 31.7% against 15.2% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,172, 27% below the Charlotte average. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Against the Mecklenburg County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.8% against 11.3% nationally.
The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 2,386 evictions over 4 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 77.1% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37119001910
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119001910?
Census tract 37119001910 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37119001910?
Median gross rent is $1,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37119001910?
18.7% of residents in tract 37119001910 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,122.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37119001910?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 61th, minority 91th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 37119001910 considered part of Lake Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119001910 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37119001910?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,386 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37119001910 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 54.50% of renter households, peaking at 77.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37119001910 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37119001910 compare to Charlotte overall?
Tract 37119001910 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Charlotte at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Charlotte eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Charlotte
Top eight tracts in Charlotte ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Greenville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Coliseum Drive
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
College Downs
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Stonehaven
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Atando Junction
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Virginia Manor
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Sheffield
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37119005609
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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