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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Havenstone Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mebane

Tract 37135011105 · Orange County, NC · pop 3,532 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 4.1/10, tract 37135011105 in the Havenstone area of Mebane, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.4/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 16% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,485
Renter share27.9%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$70,156

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Havenstone
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Mebane
Very High
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#16 of 42 tracts In Orange County
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#1,127 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mebane and the region

Centroid at 36.0938, -79.2356 · click any tract to drill in

Why Havenstone scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mebane
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,191 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mebane
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mebane
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mebane
5.1

How Havenstone compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Havenstone risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0111054.0Mebaneparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Havenstone. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Havenstone

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Orange County average of 47.1%. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Orange County average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent is $1,191, close to the Mebane average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $70,156.

28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37135011105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135011105?

Census tract 37135011105 in the Havenstone neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37135011105?

Median gross rent is $1,191/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37135011105?

8.8% of residents in tract 37135011105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,532.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37135011105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 19th, minority 34th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 37135011105 considered part of Havenstone?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135011105 fall within Havenstone (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37135011105 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37135011105 compare to Mebane overall?

Tract 37135011105 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Mebane at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mebane eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mebane

Top eight tracts in Mebane ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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