Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Northwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Chapel Hill

Tract 37135011207 · Orange County, NC · pop 4,375 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Eviction risk in Northwood in Chapel Hill centers on tract 37135011207, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,375 residents. That is riskier than roughly 60% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,044 a month while the average household earns $109,300 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.4

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 25% Owners 47%

Tract context

Occupied units1,816

Renter share53.9%

SVI overall0.48

Poverty rate9.7%

Median income$109,300

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chapel Hill and the region

Centroid at 35.9646, -79.0631 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northwood scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chapel Hill

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

9.7% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$2,044 rent vs county FMR

5.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chapel Hill

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chapel Hill

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chapel Hill

4.0

How Northwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

17%Socioeconomic
47%Household composition
57%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.7%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
6.8%Food insecurity
3.9%SNAP enrollment
4.3%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
11.5%Frequent mental distress
23.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northwood

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37135011207

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135011207?

Census tract 37135011207 in the Northwood neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37135011207?

Median gross rent is $2,044/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37135011207?

9.7% of residents in tract 37135011207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,375.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37135011207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 47th, minority 57th, housing 86th.

Is tract 37135011207 considered part of Northwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135011207 fall within Northwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37135011207 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37135011207 compare to Chapel Hill overall?

Tract 37135011207 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Chapel Hill at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chapel Hill

Top eight tracts in Chapel Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.