Neighborhood · Chapel Hill, NC

Northwood Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,375 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Northwood is a white-asian neighborhood in Chapel Hill with 1 census tract and a population of 4,375 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,044/month sits 27% higher than the Chapel Hill citywide average ($1,613).

Risk score

3.4

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Northwood vs Chapel Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

52.8% +47%

Chapel Hill: 36.0%

Average gross rent

$2,044 +27%

Chapel Hill: $1,613

Average HH income

$109,300 +27%

Chapel Hill: $85,825

Poverty rate

9.7% -51%

Chapel Hill: 19.6%

Renter share

53.9% +3%

Chapel Hill: 52.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Northwood scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

53% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

54% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

9.7% below poverty line · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Risk score comparison

Northwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Northwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37135011207	3.4	4,375	53%	$2,044

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 48

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 47%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 86%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

5.7%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility shutoff threat
6.8%Food insecurity
3.9%SNAP enrollment
5.9%No health insurance
23.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Northwood

What is the eviction-risk score for Northwood?

Northwood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Northwood compare to Chapel Hill overall?

Northwood scores 0.0 points higher than Chapel Hill overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $2,044 vs $1,613.

What is the average rent in Northwood?

Average gross rent in Northwood is $2,044/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Northwood residents are renters?

54% of Northwood households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Chapel Hill). The neighborhood has 4,375 residents.

Is Northwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Northwood sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Northwood for landlords?

Northwood carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chapel Hill as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Northwood?

Northwood has 4,488 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (27.4%), Hispanic / Latino (10.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northwood

2.6 Havenstone 2 tracts · pop 5,237

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chapel Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northwood.

3.5 Glendale 1 tracts · pop 2,042 3.5 Highgrove 1 tracts · pop 4,391 3.3 North Forest Hills 1 tracts · pop 1,974 3.5 SpringCrest 1 tracts · pop 3,640 3.2 Green Hill 1 tracts · pop 2,523 3.6 Rogerson 1 tracts · pop 2,536

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