Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

North Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Chapel Hill

Tract 37135011903 · Orange County, NC · pop 1,974 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 37135011903 runs through the North Forest Hills neighborhood of Chapel Hill. With 1,974 residents, it scores 4.9/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #55,039 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,565 a month against an average household income of $102,284 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 29% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units849

Renter share45.0%

SVI overall0.77

Poverty rate5.8%

Median income$102,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chapel Hill and the region

Centroid at 35.9533, -79.0526 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Forest Hills scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chapel Hill

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

5.8% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,565 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chapel Hill

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chapel Hill

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chapel Hill

4.0

How North Forest Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

45%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.2%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
8.4%Food insecurity
5.3%SNAP enrollment
5.3%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
13.1%Frequent mental distress
23.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Forest Hills

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Orange County average of 5.4 and below the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37135011903

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135011903?

Census tract 37135011903 in the North Forest Hills neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37135011903?

Median gross rent is $1,565/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37135011903?

5.8% of residents in tract 37135011903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,974.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37135011903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 78th, minority 65th, housing 94th.

Is tract 37135011903 considered part of North Forest Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135011903 fall within North Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37135011903 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37135011903 compare to Chapel Hill overall?

Tract 37135011903 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chapel Hill at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chapel Hill

Top eight tracts in Chapel Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.