Neighborhood · Chapel Hill, NC

North Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 1,974 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

North Forest Hills is a diverse neighborhood in Chapel Hill with 1 census tract and a population of 1,974 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 35% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,565/month sits 3% lower than the Chapel Hill citywide average ($1,613).

Risk score

3.3

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

North Forest Hills vs Chapel Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

35.1% -3%

Chapel Hill: 36.0%

Average gross rent

$1,565 -3%

Chapel Hill: $1,613

Average HH income

$102,284 +19%

Chapel Hill: $85,825

Poverty rate

5.8% -70%

Chapel Hill: 19.6%

Renter share

45.0% -14%

Chapel Hill: 52.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Forest Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why North Forest Hills scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

35% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

45% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

5.8% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Risk score comparison

North Forest Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in North Forest Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37135011903	3.3	1,974	35%	$1,565

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 78%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 94%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Forest Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.2%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility shutoff threat
8.4%Food insecurity
5.3%SNAP enrollment
7.0%No health insurance
23.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About North Forest Hills

What is the eviction-risk score for North Forest Hills?

North Forest Hills scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does North Forest Hills compare to Chapel Hill overall?

North Forest Hills scores 0.1 points lower than Chapel Hill overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,565 vs $1,613.

What is the average rent in North Forest Hills?

Average gross rent in North Forest Hills is $1,565/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of North Forest Hills residents are renters?

45% of North Forest Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Chapel Hill). The neighborhood has 1,974 residents.

Is North Forest Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

North Forest Hills sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is North Forest Hills for landlords?

North Forest Hills carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chapel Hill as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of North Forest Hills?

North Forest Hills has 1,929 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.1%), Hispanic / Latino (18.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North Forest Hills

2.6 Havenstone 2 tracts · pop 5,237

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chapel Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North Forest Hills.

3.2 Green Hill 1 tracts · pop 2,523 3.4 Northwood 1 tracts · pop 4,375 3.5 SpringCrest 1 tracts · pop 3,640 3.5 Glendale 1 tracts · pop 2,042 3.5 Highgrove 1 tracts · pop 4,391 3.6 Rogerson 1 tracts · pop 2,536

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