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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Highgrove Eviction Risk: Lower , Chapel Hill

Tract 37135012202 · Orange County, NC · pop 4,391 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 37135012202 belongs to the Highgrove neighborhood of Chapel Hill, North Carolina. It is home to 4,391 residents and scores 5.4/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 52% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,404 a month against an average household income of $103,315 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 17% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,811
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$103,315

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Highgrove
Moderate
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 17 tracts In Chapel Hill
Low
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 42 tracts In Orange County
Elevated
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#1,473 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chapel Hill and the region

Centroid at 35.8872, -79.0737 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highgrove scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chapel Hill
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,404 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chapel Hill
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chapel Hill
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chapel Hill
4.0

How Highgrove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Highgrove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 012202Chapel Hill: 3.43.4Chapel Hillparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 198Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 3.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.1%Peak (2002)
  • 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 371350122022002: 42 filings (9.11/100 renter HHs)2003: 21 filings (4.56/100 renter HHs)2004: 15 filings (3.25/100 renter HHs)2005: 17 filings (3.79/100 renter HHs)2006: 20 filings (4.46/100 renter HHs)2007: 14 filings (3.12/100 renter HHs)2008: 14 filings (3.12/100 renter HHs)2009: 19 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)2010: 7 filings (0.75/100 renter HHs)2011: 11 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)2013: 5 filings (0.58/100 renter HHs)2015: 6 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 86% over the past 13 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highgrove

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37135012202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37135012202?

Census tract 37135012202 in the Highgrove neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37135012202?

Median gross rent is $1,404/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37135012202?

9.1% of residents in tract 37135012202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,391.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37135012202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 23th, minority 28th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 37135012202 considered part of Highgrove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37135012202 fall within Highgrove (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37135012202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 198 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 37135012202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.06% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37135012202 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37135012202 compare to Chapel Hill overall?

Tract 37135012202 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Chapel Hill at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chapel Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chapel Hill

Top eight tracts in Chapel Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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