Neighborhood · Chapel Hill, NC

Highgrove Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,391 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–3.5

Highgrove is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Chapel Hill with 1 census tract and a population of 4,391 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 35% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,404/month sits 13% lower than the Chapel Hill citywide average ($1,613).

Risk score

3.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Highgrove vs Chapel Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

55.2% +53%

Chapel Hill: 36.0%

Average gross rent

$1,404 -13%

Chapel Hill: $1,613

Average HH income

$103,315 +20%

Chapel Hill: $85,825

Poverty rate

9.1% -54%

Chapel Hill: 19.6%

Renter share

37.6% -28%

Chapel Hill: 52.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Highgrove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.5–3.5

Why Highgrove scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

55% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

38% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

9.1% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Risk score comparison

Highgrove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Highgrove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37135012202	3.5	4,391	55%	$1,404

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 31%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 23%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 28%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 35%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Highgrove

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

198Total filings (sum)
3.06%Avg annual filing rate
9.1%Peak year (2002)
0.70%Latest filed (2015)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Highgrove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

5.8%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility shutoff threat
6.3%Food insecurity
3.9%SNAP enrollment
5.3%No health insurance
21.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Highgrove

What is the eviction-risk score for Highgrove?

Highgrove scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Highgrove compare to Chapel Hill overall?

Highgrove scores 0.1 points higher than Chapel Hill overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,404 vs $1,613.

What is the average rent in Highgrove?

Average gross rent in Highgrove is $1,404/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Highgrove residents are renters?

38% of Highgrove households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Chapel Hill). The neighborhood has 4,391 residents.

Is Highgrove a high social-vulnerability area?

Highgrove sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Highgrove for landlords?

Highgrove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chapel Hill as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Highgrove?

Highgrove has 4,343 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.6%), Other / Multiracial (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Highgrove

2.6 Havenstone 2 tracts · pop 5,237

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chapel Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Highgrove.

3.5 Glendale 1 tracts · pop 2,042 3.5 SpringCrest 1 tracts · pop 3,640 3.4 Northwood 1 tracts · pop 4,375 3.6 Rogerson 1 tracts · pop 2,536 3.7 Clark Hills 1 tracts · pop 4,572 3.3 North Forest Hills 1 tracts · pop 1,974

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