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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39007000400 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 1,517 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 39007000400 sits in the Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District area of Ashtabula, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. It is home to 1,517 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 17% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units648
Renter share29.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$52,037

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District
Very Low
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Ashtabula
Low
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 28 tracts In Ashtabula County
High
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#933 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashtabula and the region

Centroid at 41.8978, -80.7889 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ashtabula
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$716 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashtabula
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.4

How Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0004004.4Ashtabulaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 144Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2003)
  • 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39007000400
Filings climbed 100% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 144 filings here across 15 tracked years. Against the Ashtabula County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

Average gross rent is $716, 10% below the Ashtabula average. The worst year on record was 2003, when 3.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $52,037, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39007000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000400?

Census tract 39007000400 in the Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39007000400?

Median gross rent is $716/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000400?

22.0% of residents in tract 39007000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,517.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 85th, minority 21th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 39007000400 considered part of Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39007000400 fall within Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 144 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.42% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39007000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39007000400 compare to Ashtabula overall?

Tract 39007000400 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Ashtabula at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashtabula; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ashtabula

Top eight tracts in Ashtabula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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