Within neighborhood
89
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Chagrin-Lee Eviction Risk: Elevated , Shaker Heights
Tract 39035120801 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,676 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Here is how census tract 39035120801, in Chagrin-Lee in Shaker Heights eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.6/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 1,676. On the national scale it ranks #10,001 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 84% of renter households, a severe level, and 61% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $879 a month while the average household earns $28,724 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units885
Renter share50.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate36.6%
Median income$28,724
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region
Centroid at 41.4589, -81.5757 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chagrin-Lee scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shaker Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
36.6% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$879 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shaker Heights
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shaker Heights
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shaker Heights
5.0
How Chagrin-Lee compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 741Total filings over 12 yrs
- 12.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.4%Peak (2013)
- 46Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 230Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chagrin-Lee. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.3%Housing insecurity
- 27.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.3%Food insecurity
- 45.2%SNAP enrollment
- 20.8%Transit barriers
- 12.3%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 42.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chagrin-Lee
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035120801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035120801?
Census tract 39035120801 in the Chagrin-Lee neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035120801?
Median gross rent is $879/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035120801?
36.6% of residents in tract 39035120801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,676.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035120801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 80th, minority 94th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 39035120801 considered part of Chagrin-Lee?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035120801 fall within Chagrin-Lee (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035120801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 741 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035120801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.61% of renter households, peaking at 17.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39035120801 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39035120801 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39035120801 compare to Shaker Heights overall?
Tract 39035120801 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Shaker Heights at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39035120801 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights
Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Central
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Central
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Buckeye-Woodhill
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Little Italy
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Edgewater Parke
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
North Collinwood
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Superior Arts District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Central
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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