Within neighborhood
78
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Chagrin-Lee Eviction Risk: Elevated , Shaker Heights
Tract 39035121800 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,519 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 39035121800 in the Chagrin-Lee area of Cleveland, OH reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Cuyahoga County average of 43.0%.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units848
Renter share35.1%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$44,535
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region
Centroid at 41.4535, -81.5505 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chagrin-Lee scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shaker Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$841 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shaker Heights
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shaker Heights
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shaker Heights
5.0
How Chagrin-Lee compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 100%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 20%Grade A
- 80%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 177Total filings over 12 yrs
- 13.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.1%Peak (2013)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 88% over the past 12 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 110Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chagrin-Lee. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.2%Housing insecurity
- 19.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.2%Food insecurity
- 30.7%SNAP enrollment
- 15.3%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 40.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chagrin-Lee
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10. Housing insecurity runs 24.2% against 14.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records carry 177 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Average gross rent is $841, 11% below the Cleveland average.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 17.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035121800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035121800?
Census tract 39035121800 in the Chagrin-Lee neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035121800?
Median gross rent is $841/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035121800?
27.4% of residents in tract 39035121800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,519.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035121800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 66th, minority 100th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 39035121800 considered part of Chagrin-Lee?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035121800 fall within Chagrin-Lee (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035121800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 177 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035121800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.05% of renter households, peaking at 17.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39035121800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39035121800 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39035121800 compare to Shaker Heights overall?
Tract 39035121800 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Shaker Heights at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39035121800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights
Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Westown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Nottingham
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Warszawa Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Chagrin-Lee
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Central
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Forest Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Stockyards
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Belvoir Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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