Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
South Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sandusky
Tract 39043041000 ·
Erie County, OH · pop 3,398 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 39043041000 covers part of the South Side area of Sandusky, OH, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,398 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%Stable renters 46%Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,201
Renter share65.3%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate29.6%
Median income$54,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In South Side
Moderate
Within parent city
57th percentile
#4 of 8 tracts In Sandusky
Elevated
Within county
100th percentile
#1 of 19 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
91th percentile
#295 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sandusky and the region
Centroid at 41.4385, -82.7254 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Side scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sandusky
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
29.6% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$798 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sandusky
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sandusky
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sandusky
7.1
How South Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
70%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
399Total filings over 7 yrs
8.20%Avg annual filing rate
10.2%Peak (2014)
62Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2011 to 2018
Filings climbed 72% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
20.1%Housing insecurity
16.1%Utility-shutoff threat
28.0%Food insecurity
28.3%SNAP enrollment
13.8%Transit barriers
12.1%No health insurance
20.4%Frequent mental distress
38.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Side
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
It sits 1.6 points above the Erie County average of 4.2. SNAP participation runs 28.3% against 15.2% nationally.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.8/10. Cost burden runs 30% here against 37.2% across Erie County. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
Court records carry 399 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Average gross rent is $798, 12% below the Sandusky average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39043041000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39043041000?
Census tract 39043041000 in the South Side neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39043041000?
Median gross rent is $798/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39043041000?
29.6% of residents in tract 39043041000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,398.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39043041000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 95th, minority 67th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 39043041000 considered part of South Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39043041000 fall within South Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39043041000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 399 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39043041000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.20% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39043041000 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39043041000 compare to Sandusky overall?
Tract 39043041000 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Sandusky at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sandusky; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sandusky
Top eight tracts in Sandusky ranked by composite eviction-risk score.