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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

McKelvey Plat Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sandusky

Tract 39043041200 · Erie County, OH · pop 2,514 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in McKelvey Plat in Sandusky centers on tract 39043041200, which scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,514 residents. On the national scale it ranks #15,069 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $820 a month against an average household income of $46,286 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 25% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,202
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate27.9%
Median income$46,286

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In McKelvey Plat
Very High
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Sandusky
Elevated
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 19 tracts In Erie County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#576 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sandusky and the region

Centroid at 41.4435, -82.6951 · click any tract to drill in

Why McKelvey Plat scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sandusky
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.9% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$820 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sandusky
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sandusky
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sandusky
7.1

How McKelvey Plat compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McKelvey Plat risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 041200Sandusky: 3.03.0Sanduskyparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 319Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 7.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak (2013)
  • 50Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390430412002011: 34 filings (5.58/100 renter HHs)2013: 50 filings (8.21/100 renter HHs)2014: 41 filings (6.73/100 renter HHs)2015: 49 filings (8.05/100 renter HHs)2016: 47 filings (7.65/100 renter HHs)2017: 48 filings (7.82/100 renter HHs)2018: 50 filings (8.14/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 47% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McKelvey Plat. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McKelvey Plat

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sandusky, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 5.2 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39043041200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39043041200?

Census tract 39043041200 in the McKelvey Plat neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39043041200?

Median gross rent is $820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39043041200?

27.9% of residents in tract 39043041200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,514.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39043041200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 45th, minority 58th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 39043041200 considered part of McKelvey Plat?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39043041200 fall within McKelvey Plat (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39043041200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 319 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39043041200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.45% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39043041200 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39043041200 compare to Sandusky overall?

Tract 39043041200 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Sandusky at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sandusky; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sandusky

Top eight tracts in Sandusky ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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