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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Bellasera Eviction Risk: Moderate , Beavercreek

Tract 39057210401 · Greene County, OH · pop 5,438 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 39057210401 in the Bellasera area of Beavercreek, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,438 residents. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 2.2/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 36% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,192
Renter share52.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate25.5%
Median income$79,736

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bellasera
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 12 tracts In Beavercreek
Very High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 42 tracts In Greene County
High
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#933 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Beavercreek and the region

Centroid at 39.6895, -84.0882 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bellasera scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Beavercreek
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
25.5% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,276 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Beavercreek
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Beavercreek
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Beavercreek
3.4

How Bellasera compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bellasera risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 2104013.6Beavercreekparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 224Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 4.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2016)
  • 36Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39057210401
Filings climbed 80% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bellasera. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bellasera

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The voucher gap is 18.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against Greene County at 36.2%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.0 points above the Greene County average of 4.0.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 224 filings here across 6 tracked years. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. At $1,276 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Beavercreek commands.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 6.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39057210401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39057210401?

Census tract 39057210401 in the Bellasera neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39057210401?

Median gross rent is $1,276/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39057210401?

25.5% of residents in tract 39057210401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,438.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39057210401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 68th, minority 43th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 39057210401 considered part of Bellasera?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39057210401 fall within Bellasera (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39057210401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 224 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 39057210401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.50% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39057210401 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39057210401 compare to Beavercreek overall?

Tract 39057210401 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Beavercreek at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Beavercreek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Beavercreek

Top eight tracts in Beavercreek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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