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Neighborhood · Beavercreek, OH

Bellasera Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,198 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3–5

Bellasera spans 2 census tracts of Beavercreek, OH and houses 9,198 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.2/10, Moderate tier. The voucher gap is 47.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3 to 5. A 2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The dominant input is supply constraint at 8.1/10. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.1/10.

Cost burden runs 18% against 23.4% citywide, putting Bellasera 5.4% under its own city. Court records for this tract carry 224 eviction filings.

Severe burden reaches 8%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 6.3% of renter households.

Food insecurity affects 9.0% of adults, 8.8 points below the national rate. SNAP participation is 7.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. At $1,585 a month, rents sit 9% over what the rest of Beavercreek commands.

Recent filings have not receded much: 4.1% in 2018 against a 6.3% peak. For a like-for-like read, Valleywood and Alpha score within a fraction of it.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bellasera vs Beavercreek How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
18.0% -23%
Beavercreek: 23.4%
Average gross rent
$1,585 +9%
Beavercreek: $1,457
Average HH income
$111,549 +1%
Beavercreek: $110,064
Poverty rate
15.7% +136%
Beavercreek: 6.6%
Renter share
32.3% +15%
Beavercreek: 28.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellasera and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–5

Why Bellasera scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Rent control risk
18% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.2 across tracts
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–2.2 across tracts
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 5.4–6.1 across tracts
5.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.8–3.4 across tracts
3.2
Economic stress
15.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.4 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.8–10.0 across tracts
8.1
Risk score comparison

Bellasera vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bellasera score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.2BellaseraNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bellasera

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39057210401 5 5,438 30% $1,276
39057220101 3 3,760 0% $2,033
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 35%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bellasera

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 224Total filings (sum)
  • 4.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.10%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bellasera

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bellasera

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bellasera?

Bellasera scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bellasera compare to Beavercreek overall?

Bellasera scores 0.6 points higher than Beavercreek overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 18% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $1,585 vs $1,457.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bellasera?

Average gross rent in Bellasera is $1,585/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bellasera residents are renters?

32% of Bellasera households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Beavercreek). The neighborhood has 9,198 residents.
Q5

Is Bellasera a high social-vulnerability area?

Bellasera sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bellasera have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bellasera is census tract 39057210401 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5, a spread of 2 points.
Q7

How safe is Bellasera for landlords?

Bellasera carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Beavercreek as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bellasera?

Bellasera has 9,456 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.5%), Other / Multiracial (8.2%), Hispanic / Latino (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bellasera

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Beavercreek

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bellasera.

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