Over-the-Rhine Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Cincinnati

The voucher gap is 33.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 31% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Hamilton County average of 42.5%.

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.4/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.9% against 31.5% nationally.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 1,454 eviction filings across 16 observed years. Against the Hamilton County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 22.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 15.8% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.