Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
The Reserves of Willoughby Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39085201500 · Lake County, OH · pop 2,710 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 39085201500 sits in the The Reserves of Willoughby area of Willoughby, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. Population here is 2,710. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.7/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,149
Renter share27.2%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$89,761
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Willoughby and the region
Centroid at 41.6369, -81.3972 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Reserves of Willoughby scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Willoughby
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,321 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Willoughby
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Willoughby
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Willoughby
5.6
How The Reserves of Willoughby compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 123Total filings over 14 yrs
- 7.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.5%Peak (2005)
- 5Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Reserves of Willoughby. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.3%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Reserves of Willoughby
The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 123 filings here across 14 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $1,321, 13% above the Willoughby average. The worst year on record was 2005, when 14.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $89,761, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39085201500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39085201500?
Census tract 39085201500 in the The Reserves of Willoughby neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39085201500?
Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39085201500?
6.9% of residents in tract 39085201500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,710.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39085201500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 16th, minority 12th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 39085201500 considered part of The Reserves of Willoughby?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39085201500 fall within The Reserves of Willoughby (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39085201500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 123 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 39085201500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.69% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39085201500 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39085201500 compare to Willoughby overall?
Tract 39085201500 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Willoughby at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Willoughby; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Willoughby
Top eight tracts in Willoughby ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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