Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
The Reserves of Willoughby Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39085201600 · Lake County, OH · pop 3,914 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 39085201600 covers part of the The Reserves of Willoughby area of Willoughby, OH, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,914. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Lake County average of 36.8%.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,617
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$105,550
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Willoughby and the region
Centroid at 41.6646, -81.3958 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Reserves of Willoughby scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Willoughby
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$986 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Willoughby
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Willoughby
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Willoughby
5.6
How The Reserves of Willoughby compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 197Total filings over 14 yrs
- 6.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.1%Peak (2004)
- 12Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Reserves of Willoughby. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Reserves of Willoughby
The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10. Average gross rent is $986, 16% below the Willoughby average.
Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 197 filings here across 14 tracked years.
SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2004, when 9.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 6.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39085201600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39085201600?
Census tract 39085201600 in the The Reserves of Willoughby neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39085201600?
Median gross rent is $986/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39085201600?
9.7% of residents in tract 39085201600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,914.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39085201600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 25th, minority 25th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 39085201600 considered part of The Reserves of Willoughby?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39085201600 fall within The Reserves of Willoughby (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39085201600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 197 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 39085201600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.60% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39085201600 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39085201600 compare to Willoughby overall?
Tract 39085201600 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Willoughby at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Willoughby; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Willoughby
Top eight tracts in Willoughby ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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