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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Homeville Eviction Risk: Lower , Toledo

Tract 39095000202 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,008 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 39095000202 covers part of the Homeville area of Toledo, OH, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 17% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units696
Renter share37.2%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$60,635

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Homeville
Very Low
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#109 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Very Low
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#114 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#2,053 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6969, -83.5858 · click any tract to drill in

Why Homeville scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$973 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Homeville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Homeville risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0002024.0Toledoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Homeville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Homeville

Against Lucas County at 41.3%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Lucas County average of 4.2.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.2/10.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $973, close to the Toledo average.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $60,635. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095000202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095000202?

Census tract 39095000202 in the Homeville neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095000202?

Median gross rent is $973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095000202?

4.4% of residents in tract 39095000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,008.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095000202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 24th, minority 23th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 39095000202 considered part of Homeville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095000202 fall within Homeville (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39095000202 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39095000202 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095000202 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39095000202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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