Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Homeville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095000301 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,118 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 39095000301 sits in the Homeville area of Toledo eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. Population here is 2,118. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 31% Owners 35%

Tract context

Occupied units1,128

Renter share64.5%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate23.8%

Median income$45,540

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.7039, -83.5737 · click any tract to drill in

Why Homeville scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

23.8% poverty · this tract

5.9

Supply constraint

$967 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How Homeville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
21%Grade B
34%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Homeville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.0%Housing insecurity
13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
21.6%Food insecurity
19.7%SNAP enrollment
11.6%Transit barriers
10.4%No health insurance
21.2%Frequent mental distress
33.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Homeville

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Cost burden runs 52% here against 41.3% across Lucas County.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Lucas County average of 4.2.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Average gross rent is $967, close to the Toledo average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $45,540. 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095000301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095000301?

Census tract 39095000301 in the Homeville neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39095000301?

Median gross rent is $967/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095000301?

23.8% of residents in tract 39095000301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,118.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095000301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 31th, minority 54th, housing 65th.

Is tract 39095000301 considered part of Homeville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095000301 fall within Homeville (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095000301 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095000301 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095000301 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39095000301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.