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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Homeville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095005804 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,855 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 39095005804 in the Homeville area of Toledo, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,855 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 26% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,350
Renter share55.9%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$40,462

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Homeville
Low
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Elevated
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#798 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.7148, -83.5909 · click any tract to drill in

Why Homeville scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$704 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Homeville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Homeville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0058044.0Toledoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Homeville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Homeville

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Cost burden runs 53% here against 41.3% across Lucas County.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. At $704 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Toledo commands.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.3/10. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $40,462. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095005804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095005804?

Census tract 39095005804 in the Homeville neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095005804?

Median gross rent is $704/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095005804?

21.8% of residents in tract 39095005804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,855.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095005804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 86th, minority 54th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 39095005804 considered part of Homeville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095005804 fall within Homeville (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39095005804 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39095005804 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095005804 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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