Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Stickney Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095005602 · Lucas County, OH · pop 740 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.9/10 for census tract 39095005602 reflects conditions in the Stickney neighborhood of Toledo, Ohio. That is riskier than about 34% of US census tracts.

About 20% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $55,184 a year. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 10% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units403

Renter share12.7%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate16.0%

Median income$55,184

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.7155, -83.5144 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stickney scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

16.0% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How Stickney compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

69%Socioeconomic
24%Household composition
9%Racial/ethnic minority
8%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
5%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.2%Housing insecurity
12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
23.6%Food insecurity
21.8%SNAP enrollment
11.9%Transit barriers
13.1%No health insurance
21.5%Frequent mental distress
39.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stickney

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lucas County average of 5.5 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095005602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095005602?

Census tract 39095005602 in the Stickney neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095005602?

16.0% of residents in tract 39095005602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 740.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095005602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 24th, minority 9th, housing 8th.

Is tract 39095005602 considered part of Stickney?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095005602 fall within Stickney (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095005602 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095005602 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095005602 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39095005602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.