Toledo Eviction Risk: Moderate

The poverty rate is 46%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. SNAP participation runs 31.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Cost burden runs 32% here against 41.3% across Lucas County. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $712, 21% below the Toledo average.

It sits 1.2 points above the Lucas County average of 4.2. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The filing record is not thin: 546 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 16.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 13.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.