East Toledo Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39095010002 · Lucas County, OH · pop 3,244 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 39095010002 in the East Toledo area of Oregon, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,244. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6404, -83.4819 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Toledo scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow East Toledo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 29%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 469Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2011)
- 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Toledo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.3%Food insecurity
- 13.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 32.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in East Toledo
20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Lucas County average of 41.3%. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10.
Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 469 evictions over 15 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $816, 9% below the Oregon average. The worst year on record was 2011, when 9.7% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $65,156, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 39095010002
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095010002?
What is the average rent in tract 39095010002?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095010002?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095010002?
Is tract 39095010002 considered part of East Toledo?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095010002?
What share of households in tract 39095010002 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39095010002 compare to Toledo overall?
Was tract 39095010002 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.