Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Hillcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099802701 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 3,387 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 39099802701 belongs to the Hillcrest area of Youngstown, Ohio. It is home to 3,387 residents and scores 5.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $629 a month while the average household earns $54,801 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,703
Renter share34.1%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$54,801
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.0763, -80.7047 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillcrest scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$629 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
How Hillcrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 94Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2010)
- 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillcrest
What moves this score most is housing court bias at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 94 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.0% of renter households in 2010.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099802701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099802701?
Census tract 39099802701 in the Hillcrest neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099802701?
Median gross rent is $629/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099802701?
10.9% of residents in tract 39099802701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,387.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099802701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 24th, minority 32th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 39099802701 considered part of Hillcrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099802701 fall within Hillcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099802701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 94 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099802701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.04% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099802701 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099802701 compare to Youngstown overall?
Tract 39099802701 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099802701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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La La Land
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Cottage Grove
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Bryn Mawr
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Arlington Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Stambaugh Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Lansdowne
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Wick Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Buckeye Plat
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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