Hillcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099802701 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 3,387 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 39099802701 in the Hillcrest area of Youngstown, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,387 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.0763, -80.7047 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillcrest scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Hillcrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 94Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2010)
- 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Hillcrest
22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 94 filings here across 7 tracked years. Cost burden runs 38% here against 42.6% across Mahoning County. At $629 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Youngstown commands.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $54,801, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 39099802701
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099802701?
What is the average rent in tract 39099802701?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099802701?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099802701?
Is tract 39099802701 considered part of Hillcrest?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099802701?
What share of households in tract 39099802701 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39099802701 compare to Youngstown overall?
Was tract 39099802701 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.