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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Hillcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

Tract 39099802701 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 3,387 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 39099802701 in the Hillcrest area of Youngstown, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,387 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 21% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,703
Renter share34.1%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$54,801

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hillcrest
Moderate
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 31 tracts In Youngstown
Very Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#43 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Moderate
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#1,370 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.0763, -80.7047 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hillcrest scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$629 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6

How Hillcrest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hillcrest risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 8027014.5Youngstownparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 94Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.0%Peak (2010)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39099802701
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hillcrest

22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 94 filings here across 7 tracked years. Cost burden runs 38% here against 42.6% across Mahoning County. At $629 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Youngstown commands.

The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $54,801, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099802701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099802701?

Census tract 39099802701 in the Hillcrest neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099802701?

Median gross rent is $629/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099802701?

10.9% of residents in tract 39099802701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,387.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099802701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 24th, minority 32th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 39099802701 considered part of Hillcrest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099802701 fall within Hillcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099802701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 94 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099802701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.04% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099802701 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39099802701 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099802701 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39099802701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown

Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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