Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Crandal Park North-Fifth Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099804200 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,236 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Eviction risk in the Crandal Park North-Fifth Avenue Historic District neighborhood of Youngstown centers on tract 39099804200, which scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,236 residents. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $847 monthly, set against $50,909 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units890
Renter share46.2%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$50,909
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.1298, -80.6538 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crandal Park North-Fifth Avenue Historic District scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$847 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
How Crandal Park North-Fifth Avenue Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 44%Grade A
- 47%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 151Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.5%Peak (2009)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.9%Housing insecurity
- 13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 21.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.7%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crandal Park North-Fifth Avenue Historic District
What moves this score most is housing court bias at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 151 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.5% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099804200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099804200?
Census tract 39099804200 in the Crandal Park North-Fifth Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099804200?
Median gross rent is $847/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099804200?
19.5% of residents in tract 39099804200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,236.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099804200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 73th, minority 65th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 39099804200 considered part of Crandal Park North-Fifth Avenue Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099804200 fall within Crandal Park North-Fifth Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099804200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099804200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.82% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099804200 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099804200 compare to Youngstown overall?
Tract 39099804200 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099804200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Arlington Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Stambaugh Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Lansdowne
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Wick Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Buckeye Plat
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
La La Land
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Bryn Mawr
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Cottage Grove
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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