Crandal Park North-Fifth Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 42.6% across Mahoning County.

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $847, 16% above the Youngstown average. The filing record is not thin: 151 evictions over 7 years of observation. Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 5.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.