Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
South Main Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Poland
Tract 39099811200 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,344 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
In the South Main Street Historic District neighborhood of Poland, census tract 39099811200 scores 4.7/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #60,531 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
22% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $933 a month while the average household earns $103,333 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units998
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$103,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
13
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Poland and the region
Centroid at 41.0206, -80.6148 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Main Street Historic District scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Poland
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$933 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Poland
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Poland
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Poland
4.9
How South Main Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 27%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 13Total filings over 6 yrs
- 2.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2011)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.3%Food insecurity
- 4.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Main Street Historic District
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Poland, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 13 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.4% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099811200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099811200?
Census tract 39099811200 in the South Main Street Historic District neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099811200?
Median gross rent is $933/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099811200?
2.6% of residents in tract 39099811200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,344.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099811200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 13th, minority 14th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 39099811200 considered part of South Main Street Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099811200 fall within South Main Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099811200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 39099811200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.24% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099811200 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099811200 compare to Poland overall?
Tract 39099811200 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Poland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poland; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099811200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Poland
Top eight tracts in Poland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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