Bryn Mawr Eviction Risk: Elevated , Youngstown
Tract 39099813800 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,819 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
For landlords sizing up the Bryn Mawr neighborhood of Youngstown, census tract 39099813800 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #10,022 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $579 monthly, set against $23,056 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.1076, -80.5818 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bryn Mawr scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Bryn Mawr compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 66%Grade C
- 31%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 441Total filings over 7 yrs
- 9.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.8%Peak (2011)
- 53Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.8%Housing insecurity
- 25.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.2%Food insecurity
- 43.7%SNAP enrollment
- 21.5%Transit barriers
- 18.0%No health insurance
- 22.0%Frequent mental distress
- 43.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Bryn Mawr
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 31% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 39099813800
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099813800?
What is the average rent in tract 39099813800?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099813800?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099813800?
Is tract 39099813800 considered part of Bryn Mawr?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099813800?
What share of households in tract 39099813800 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39099813800 compare to Youngstown overall?
Was tract 39099813800 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.