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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Bryn Mawr Eviction Risk: Elevated , Youngstown

Tract 39099813800 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,819 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

For landlords sizing up the Bryn Mawr neighborhood of Youngstown, census tract 39099813800 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #10,022 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $579 monthly, set against $23,056 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 37% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,260
Renter share60.3%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate49.9%
Median income$23,056

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bryn Mawr
Moderate
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 31 tracts In Youngstown
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#93 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.1076, -80.5818 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bryn Mawr scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
49.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$579 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6

How Bryn Mawr compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bryn Mawr risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 813800Youngstown: 3.23.2Youngstownparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 441Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.8%Peak (2011)
  • 53Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390998138002009: 50 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)2010: 57 filings (10.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 98 filings (14.78/100 renter HHs)2012: 59 filings (8.90/100 renter HHs)2013: 51 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)2014: 73 filings (11.01/100 renter HHs)2016: 53 filings (6.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bryn Mawr

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 31% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099813800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099813800?

Census tract 39099813800 in the Bryn Mawr neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099813800?

Median gross rent is $579/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099813800?

49.9% of residents in tract 39099813800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,819.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099813800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 99th, minority 83th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 39099813800 considered part of Bryn Mawr?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099813800 fall within Bryn Mawr (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099813800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 441 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099813800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.55% of renter households, peaking at 14.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099813800 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39099813800 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099813800 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39099813800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown

Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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