Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113000200 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,790 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Dayton

39113000200 is a census tract in Dayton, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,790 residents. Food insecurity runs 42.1% against 17.8% nationally.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 29% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units764
Renter share69.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate36.7%
Median income$26,554

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#28 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7845, -84.2610 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dayton scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
36.7% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$881 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Dayton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dayton risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0002004.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 841Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 10.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.9%Peak (2010)
  • 47Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113000200
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dayton

Cost burden runs 59% here against 42.9% across Montgomery County. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.2/10. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $26,554, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 26.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

It sits 1.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 841 filings here across 17 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2010 at 14.9% of renter households.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113000200?

Census tract 39113000200 in Dayton scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113000200?

Median gross rent is $881/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113000200?

36.7% of residents in tract 39113000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,790.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 69th, minority 78th, housing 22th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113000200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 841 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.86% of renter households, peaking at 14.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113000200 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113000200 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113000200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113000200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related