Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113004200 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,785

With a score of 5.9/10, tract 39113004200 in Dayton ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,785 residents. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $809 monthly, set against $32,287 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 28% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units1,022

Renter share50.5%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate39.3%

Median income$32,287

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7418, -84.2424 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dayton scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dayton

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

39.3% poverty · this tract

9.8

Supply constraint

$809 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dayton

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dayton

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dayton

3.5

How Dayton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

64%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
98%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
79%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,052Total filings over 17 yrs
10.61%Avg annual filing rate
11.5%Peak (2015)
52Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2018

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

30.2%Housing insecurity
26.0%Utility-shutoff threat
39.1%Food insecurity
41.9%SNAP enrollment
20.3%Transit barriers
11.1%No health insurance
21.8%Frequent mental distress
41.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dayton

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 30.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 26.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,052 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 10.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.5% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113004200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113004200?

Census tract 39113004200 in Dayton scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39113004200?

Median gross rent is $809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113004200?

39.3% of residents in tract 39113004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,785.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113004200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 79th, minority 98th, housing 57th.

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113004200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,052 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113004200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.61% of renter households, peaking at 11.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39113004200 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39113004200 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113004200 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39113004200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 79% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org