Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Dayton View Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113000802 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,832 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 39113000802 runs through the Dayton View Historic District neighborhood of Dayton. With 1,832 residents, it scores 5.9/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #24,603 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $865 a month against an average household income of $31,691 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 25% Owners 39%

Tract context

Occupied units739

Renter share61.3%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate32.3%

Median income$31,691

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7809, -84.2150 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dayton View Historic District scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dayton

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

32.3% poverty · this tract

8.1

Supply constraint

$865 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dayton

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dayton

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dayton

3.5

How Dayton View Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

87%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

19%Grade A
74%Grade B
3%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,491Total filings over 17 yrs
15.16%Avg annual filing rate
16.1%Peak (2002)
74Filings in 2018 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2018

Filings dropped 43% over the past 17 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dayton View Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

27.4%Housing insecurity
23.2%Utility-shutoff threat
35.0%Food insecurity
36.6%SNAP enrollment
18.4%Transit barriers
11.5%No health insurance
21.9%Frequent mental distress
38.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dayton View Historic District

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113000802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113000802?

Census tract 39113000802 in the Dayton View Historic District neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39113000802?

Median gross rent is $865/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113000802?

32.3% of residents in tract 39113000802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,832.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113000802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 87th, minority 88th, housing 37th.

Is tract 39113000802 considered part of Dayton View Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113000802 fall within Dayton View Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113000802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,491 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113000802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.16% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39113000802 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39113000802 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113000802 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39113000802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org