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Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Centerville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39113040406 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 7,569 · 44% of tract blocks fall in Centerville

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 39113040406 in Centerville ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 7,569 residents. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.

About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,950 a month against an average household income of $146,583 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 3% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units3,250
Renter share7.4%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$146,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 10 tracts In Centerville
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#156 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Very Low
Within state
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#3,129 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very Low
National
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#82,639 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Centerville and the region

Centroid at 39.5957, -84.1820 · click any tract to drill in

Why Centerville scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Centerville
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,950 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Centerville
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Centerville
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Centerville
4.8

How Centerville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Centerville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 040406Centerville: 2.52.5Centervilleparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 32Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 1.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.5%Peak (2010)
  • 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130404062002: 1 filings (0.11/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (0.23/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (0.57/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (0.35/100 renter HHs)2006: 2 filings (0.24/100 renter HHs)2007: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 2 filings (0.24/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 6 filings (6.52/100 renter HHs)2011: 1 filings (0.42/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (1.67/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (0.42/100 renter HHs)2014: 1 filings (0.42/100 renter HHs)2015: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 3 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)2017: 1 filings (0.51/100 renter HHs)2018: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Centerville

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Centerville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 32 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 1.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.5% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113040406

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113040406?

Census tract 39113040406 in Centerville scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113040406?

Median gross rent is $1,950/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113040406?

1.6% of residents in tract 39113040406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,569.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113040406?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 38th, minority 44th, housing 10th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113040406?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 32 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39113040406 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.02% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113040406 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113040406 compare to Centerville overall?

Tract 39113040406 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Centerville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Centerville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Centerville

Top eight tracts in Centerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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