Within neighborhood
17
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
South Dayton Eviction Risk: Lower , Kettering
Tract 39113040103 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,356 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 39113040103 in the South Dayton area of Centerville, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,356 residents. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,219
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$102,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kettering and the region
Centroid at 39.6532, -84.1715 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Dayton scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,750 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.8
How South Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 11 yrs
- 0.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.5%Peak (2012)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Dayton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 3.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 11.1%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Dayton
Cost burden runs 60% here against 42.9% across Montgomery County. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 62.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Average gross rent is $1,750, 38% above the Centerville average. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10. SNAP participation runs 3.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 12 filings here across 11 tracked years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2012 at 0.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113040103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113040103?
Census tract 39113040103 in the South Dayton neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113040103?
Median gross rent is $1,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113040103?
5.1% of residents in tract 39113040103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,356.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113040103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 46th, minority 7th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 39113040103 considered part of South Dayton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113040103 fall within South Dayton (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113040103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39113040103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.54% of renter households, peaking at 0.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113040103 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113040103 compare to Kettering overall?
Tract 39113040103 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kettering
Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Centerville Historic District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Centerville Historic District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113040204
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040406
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
South Dayton
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040203
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040303
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
39113040306
3
/ 10 · Low
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