Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Walnut Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Dayton
Tract 39113010200 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 7,152 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
39113010200 is a census tract in the Walnut Hills area of Montgomery County, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 7,152. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 19% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,644
Renter share23.0%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$143,802
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7210, -84.1690 · click any tract to drill in
Why Walnut Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,333 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
5.0
How Walnut Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 93%Grade A
- 6%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 40Total filings over 15 yrs
- 0.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2004)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 400% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Walnut Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.3%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 3.8%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 19.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Walnut Hills
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 23.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Food insecurity runs 5.3% against 17.8% nationally.
Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.2 points below the Montgomery County average of 4.2. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
Court records carry 40 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2004 at 0.9% of renter households.
This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 0.6% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113010200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113010200?
Census tract 39113010200 in the Walnut Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113010200?
Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113010200?
3.6% of residents in tract 39113010200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,152.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113010200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 47th, minority 13th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 39113010200 considered part of Walnut Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113010200 fall within Walnut Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113010200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39113010200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.62% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113010200 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113010200 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113010200 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113010200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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