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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Carrousel District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mansfield

Tract 39139003100 · Richland County, OH · pop 2,582 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 39139003100 covers part of the Carrousel District area of Mansfield, OH, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,582 residents. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Richland County average of 39.0%.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 33% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units892
Renter share76.2%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate42.2%
Median income$25,431

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Carrousel District
Very Low
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 18 tracts In Mansfield
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 30 tracts In Richland County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#466 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mansfield and the region

Centroid at 40.7628, -82.5107 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carrousel District scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mansfield
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
42.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$790 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mansfield
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mansfield
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mansfield
7.4

How Carrousel District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carrousel District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0031004.2Mansfieldparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 656Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 9.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.0%Peak (2015)
  • 52Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39139003100
Filings dropped 21% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carrousel District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carrousel District

Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

SNAP participation runs 42.4% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $25,431, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. Housing insecurity runs 27.1% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 1.4 points above the Richland County average of 4.2.

Court records carry 656 eviction filings across 11 observed years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 14.0% of renter households were served.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39139003100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39139003100?

Census tract 39139003100 in the Carrousel District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39139003100?

Median gross rent is $790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39139003100?

42.2% of residents in tract 39139003100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,582.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39139003100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 93th, minority 72th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 39139003100 considered part of Carrousel District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39139003100 fall within Carrousel District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39139003100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 656 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39139003100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.83% of renter households, peaking at 14.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39139003100 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39139003100 compare to Mansfield overall?

Tract 39139003100 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mansfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mansfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mansfield

Top eight tracts in Mansfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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