Fairview Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warren

The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

Against the Trumbull County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. At $563 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Warren commands.

Cost burden runs around a third here against 39.0% across Trumbull County. Food insecurity runs 28.6% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 53 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2016, when 8.4% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Warren. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.