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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Historic Perkins District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warren

Tract 39155933800 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 2,552 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 39155933800 in the Historic Perkins District area of Warren, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,552. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 33% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,083
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate49.7%
Median income$22,614

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Historic Perkins District
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Warren
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 54 tracts In Trumbull County
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#295 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Warren and the region

Centroid at 41.2417, -80.8153 · click any tract to drill in

Why Historic Perkins District scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Warren
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
49.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$659 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
8.4

How Historic Perkins District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Historic Perkins District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 9338004.4Warrenparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 80Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 13.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.4%Peak (2016)
  • 80Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Historic Perkins District

The poverty rate is 50%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Food insecurity runs 38.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. Set annual rent against average income of $22,614 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

It sits 1.7 points above the Trumbull County average of 4.1. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 39.0% across Trumbull County.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 80 filings here across 1 tracked years.

Average gross rent is $659, 14% below the Warren average. Filings peaked in 2016 at 13.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39155933800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155933800?

Census tract 39155933800 in the Historic Perkins District neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39155933800?

Median gross rent is $659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39155933800?

49.7% of residents in tract 39155933800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,552.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39155933800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 43th, minority 48th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 39155933800 considered part of Historic Perkins District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155933800 fall within Historic Perkins District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155933800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 80 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155933800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.38% of renter households, peaking at 13.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39155933800 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39155933800 compare to Warren overall?

Tract 39155933800 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Warren at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39155933800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Warren

Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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