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Census Tract · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Medford Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41029000604 · Jackson County, OR · pop 3,804

Tract 41029000604 sits in Medford eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 3% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,570
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$68,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 22 tracts In Medford
Moderate
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
Moderate
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#515 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Moderate
National
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#17,650 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.3196, -122.8242 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medford scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,359 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8

How Medford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medford risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 0006046.3Medfordparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 82Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.77×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medford

Cost burden runs 90% here against 46.7% across Jackson County. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. Nationally it ranks #17,650 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Jackson County average of 6.1 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,359, close to the Medford average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $68,750. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41029000604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000604?

Census tract 41029000604 in Medford scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41029000604?

Median gross rent is $1,359/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 90% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000604?

9.7% of residents in tract 41029000604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,804.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 62th, minority 22th, housing 83th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 41029000604 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 41029000604 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 41029000604 scores 6.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Medford at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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