Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Medford Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41029000405 · Jackson County, OR · pop 4,417
Census tract 41029000405 covers part of Medford, OR, and scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,417 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,611
Renter share57.3%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$63,854
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Medford and the region
Centroid at 42.3456, -122.8585 · click any tract to drill in
Why Medford scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,324 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8
How Medford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 652Total filings over 14 yrs
- 4.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2010)
- 52Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 37% over the past 14 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 304Total filings 2020-21
- 4.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Medford
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.
Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 652 evictions over 14 years of observation. Against the Jackson County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 6.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41029000405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000405?
Census tract 41029000405 in Medford scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41029000405?
Median gross rent is $1,324/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000405?
14.5% of residents in tract 41029000405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,417.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 50th, minority 53th, housing 88th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000405?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 652 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029000405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.48% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41029000405 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41029000405 compare to Medford overall?
Tract 41029000405 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Medford at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Medford
Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Valley Center Mobile Village
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41029000800
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41029000406
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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