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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally

Medford historic districts Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41029000202 · Jackson County, OR · pop 3,996 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

41029000202 is a census tract in the Medford historic districts area of Medford, OR. It scores 7.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,996 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 28% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,446
Renter share60.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$53,824

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Medford historic districts
Elevated
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 22 tracts In Medford
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#170 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.3232, -122.8863 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medford historic districts scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,228 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8

How Medford historic districts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medford historic districts risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.6This tracttract 0002026.3Medfordparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 859Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 6.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.8%Peak (2000)
  • 55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41029000202
Filings dropped 30% over the past 14 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 168Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.56×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Medford historic districts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medford historic districts

Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.5 points above the Jackson County average of 6.1.

Cost burden runs 54% here against 46.7% across Jackson County. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 859 eviction filings across 14 observed years. At $1,228 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Medford commands.

Filings peaked in 2000 at 8.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10.

Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41029000202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000202?

Census tract 41029000202 in the Medford historic districts neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41029000202?

Median gross rent is $1,228/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000202?

20.3% of residents in tract 41029000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,996.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 83th, minority 50th, housing 49th.
Q5

Is tract 41029000202 considered part of Medford historic districts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41029000202 fall within Medford historic districts (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 859 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029000202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.50% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41029000202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.56× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41029000202 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 41029000202 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Medford at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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