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Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Medford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41029001200 · Jackson County, OR · pop 4,368 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Medford

Tract 41029001200, home to 4,368 residents in Medford, scores 5.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,421 monthly, set against $81,397 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 25% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,701
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$81,397

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 22 tracts In Medford
Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
Low
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#551 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Moderate
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,735 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.3736, -122.8528 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medford scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,421 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8

How Medford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 001200Medford: 6.66.6Medfordparent cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 327Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 3.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2013)
  • 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410290012002000: 17 filings (3.96/100 renter HHs)2001: 11 filings (2.56/100 renter HHs)2003: 14 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2004: 15 filings (3.50/100 renter HHs)2005: 24 filings (3.48/100 renter HHs)2006: 28 filings (4.06/100 renter HHs)2007: 21 filings (3.04/100 renter HHs)2008: 34 filings (4.93/100 renter HHs)2009: 19 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2010: 29 filings (3.89/100 renter HHs)2011: 32 filings (4.15/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (2.72/100 renter HHs)2013: 39 filings (5.05/100 renter HHs)2016: 23 filings (3.53/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 35% over the past 14 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 140Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.25×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (5.33× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 4 filings (5.33× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-12-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 10 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (16.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-09-01: 7 filings (9.33× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (4.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2026-03-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medford

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Medford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Jackson County average of 6.1 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 327 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 3.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.1% of renter households in 2013.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.25x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 41029001200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029001200?

Census tract 41029001200 in Medford scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41029001200?

Median gross rent is $1,421/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41029001200?

7.0% of residents in tract 41029001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,368.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41029001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 60th, minority 47th, housing 40th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029001200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 327 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.63% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41029001200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.25× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41029001200 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 41029001200 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Medford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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