Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039001302 · Lane County, OR · pop 5,289 · 59% of tract blocks fall in Cottage Grove
Census tract 41039001302 covers Cottage Grove in Lane County, home to 5,289 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,240 monthly, set against $65,962 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,078
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$65,962
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottage Grove and the region
Centroid at 43.7408, -123.0186 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,240 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottage Grove
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottage Grove
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.0
How Cottage Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 427Total filings over 16 yrs
- 5.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2007)
- 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 98Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.89×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lane County average of 6.1 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 427 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 5.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.5% of renter households in 2007.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039001302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039001302?
Census tract 41039001302 in Cottage Grove scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039001302?
Median gross rent is $1,240/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039001302?
11.7% of residents in tract 41039001302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,289.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039001302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 63th, minority 36th, housing 91th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039001302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 427 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039001302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.44% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039001302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039001302 compare to Cottage Grove overall?
Tract 41039001302 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Cottage Grove at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cottage Grove
Top eight tracts in Cottage Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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