Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Springfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41039001801 · Lane County, OR · pop 5,309 · 73% of tract blocks fall in Springfield

Eviction risk in Springfield eviction risk centers on tract 41039001801, which scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 5,309 residents. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,456 a month against an average household income of $87,969 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 13% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,941
Renter share22.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$87,969

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 17 tracts In Springfield
Low
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 92 tracts In Lane County
Moderate
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#342 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
National
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20,889 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 44.0314, -122.8896 · click any tract to drill in

Why Springfield scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,456 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
6.5

How Springfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Springfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 001801Springfield: 6.96.9Springfieldparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 327Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 4.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2006)
  • 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410390018012000: 18 filings (5.64/100 renter HHs)2001: 12 filings (3.76/100 renter HHs)2002: 21 filings (6.58/100 renter HHs)2003: 19 filings (5.96/100 renter HHs)2004: 23 filings (7.21/100 renter HHs)2005: 19 filings (3.68/100 renter HHs)2006: 29 filings (5.62/100 renter HHs)2007: 19 filings (3.68/100 renter HHs)2008: 29 filings (5.62/100 renter HHs)2009: 18 filings (3.49/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (5.52/100 renter HHs)2011: 29 filings (6.11/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (4.21/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (4.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 14 filings (2.95/100 renter HHs)2016: 13 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 70Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.95×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (5.33× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Springfield

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lane County average of 6.1 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.95x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41039001801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039001801?

Census tract 41039001801 in Springfield scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41039001801?

Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41039001801?

14.1% of residents in tract 41039001801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,309.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41039001801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 63th, minority 25th, housing 66th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039001801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 327 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039001801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.81% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41039001801 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.95× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41039001801 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 41039001801 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related