Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039001202 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,145 · 58% of tract blocks fall in Cottage Grove
The Moderate-tier score of 5.4/10 for census tract 41039001202 reflects conditions in Cottage Grove, Oregon. On the national scale it ranks #40,191 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $866 a month while the average household earns $68,889 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,896
Renter share43.0%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$68,889
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottage Grove and the region
Centroid at 43.7923, -123.1244 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$866 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottage Grove
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottage Grove
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.0
How Cottage Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 251Total filings over 16 yrs
- 3.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2000)
- 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 51Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lane County average of 6.1 and below the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 251 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.0% of renter households in 2000.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039001202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039001202?
Census tract 41039001202 in Cottage Grove scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039001202?
Median gross rent is $866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039001202?
11.5% of residents in tract 41039001202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,145.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039001202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 69th, minority 38th, housing 90th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039001202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 251 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039001202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.17% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039001202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039001202 compare to Cottage Grove overall?
Tract 41039001202 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Cottage Grove at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cottage Grove
Top eight tracts in Cottage Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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