Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039001202 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,145 · 58% of tract blocks fall in Cottage Grove
Census tract 41039001202 covers part of Cottage Grove, OR, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,145 residents. Cost burden runs 32% here against 46.2% across Lane County.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,896
Renter share43.0%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$68,889
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottage Grove and the region
Centroid at 43.7923, -123.1244 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$866 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottage Grove
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottage Grove
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.0
How Cottage Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 251Total filings over 16 yrs
- 3.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2000)
- 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 51Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. At $866 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Cottage Grove commands.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 251 filings here across 16 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2000 at 6.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $68,889, annual rent is just 15%.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039001202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039001202?
Census tract 41039001202 in Cottage Grove scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039001202?
Median gross rent is $866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039001202?
11.5% of residents in tract 41039001202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,145.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039001202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 69th, minority 38th, housing 90th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039001202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 251 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039001202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.17% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039001202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039001202 compare to Cottage Grove overall?
Tract 41039001202 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Cottage Grove at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cottage Grove
Top eight tracts in Cottage Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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