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Census Tract · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Eugene Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41039004406 · Lane County, OR · pop 3,583

With a score of 7.3/10, tract 41039004406 in Eugene, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,583. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 28% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,430
Renter share54.1%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$78,265

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 45 tracts In Eugene
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 92 tracts In Lane County
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#215 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
National
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#11,153 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Eugene and the region

Centroid at 44.0412, -123.1562 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eugene scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Eugene
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,777 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eugene
7.5

How Eugene compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eugene risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0044067.0Eugeneparent city6.2Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 144Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.87×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eugene

22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,777, 27% above the Eugene average. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. The voucher gap is 18.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 1.1 points above the Lane County average of 6.2.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $78,265.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41039004406

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039004406?

Census tract 41039004406 in Eugene scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41039004406?

Median gross rent is $1,777/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41039004406?

18.7% of residents in tract 41039004406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,583.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41039004406?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 15th, minority 41th, housing 80th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 41039004406 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 41039004406 compare to Eugene overall?

Tract 41039004406 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Eugene at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eugene eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Eugene

Top eight tracts in Eugene ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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