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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Olivia Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln City

Tract 41041950402 · Lincoln County, OR · pop 2,215 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 41041950402 covers part of the Olivia Beach area of Lincoln City, OR, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,215 residents. 47% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 9% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,098
Renter share30.9%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$54,024

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Olivia Beach
Very Low
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Lincoln City
Elevated
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 18 tracts In Lincoln County
Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#807 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln City and the region

Centroid at 44.9619, -124.0195 · click any tract to drill in

Why Olivia Beach scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln City
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,451 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln City
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln City
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln City
5.5

How Olivia Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Olivia Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 9504025.0Lincoln Cityparent city5.5Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 68Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Olivia Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Olivia Beach

72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Lincoln County average of 43.0%. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $54,024, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The dominant input is state political climate at 7.2/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.9/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.

Against the Lincoln County average of 5.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. At $1,451 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Lincoln City commands. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.

31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41041950402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41041950402?

Census tract 41041950402 in the Olivia Beach neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41041950402?

Median gross rent is $1,451/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41041950402?

11.4% of residents in tract 41041950402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,215.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41041950402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 61th, minority 37th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 41041950402 considered part of Olivia Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41041950402 fall within Olivia Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 41041950402 compare to Lincoln City overall?

Tract 41041950402 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Lincoln City at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln City

Top eight tracts in Lincoln City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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