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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Olivia Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln City

Tract 41041950402 · Lincoln County, OR · pop 2,215 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

How risky is the Olivia Beach neighborhood of Lincoln City for landlords? Census tract 41041950402 scores 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 72% of renter households, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,451 a month while the average household earns $54,024 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 9% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,098
Renter share30.9%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$54,024

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Olivia Beach
Very Low
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Lincoln City
Elevated
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 18 tracts In Lincoln County
Moderate
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#342 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln City and the region

Centroid at 44.9619, -124.0195 · click any tract to drill in

Why Olivia Beach scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln City
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,451 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln City
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln City
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln City
5.5

How Olivia Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Olivia Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 950402Lincoln City: 6.76.7Lincoln Cityparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 68Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Olivia Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Olivia Beach

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lincoln County average of 5.6 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 41041950402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41041950402?

Census tract 41041950402 in the Olivia Beach neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41041950402?

Median gross rent is $1,451/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41041950402?

11.4% of residents in tract 41041950402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,215.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41041950402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 61th, minority 37th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 41041950402 considered part of Olivia Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41041950402 fall within Olivia Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 41041950402 compare to Lincoln City overall?

Tract 41041950402 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln City at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln City

Top eight tracts in Lincoln City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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