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Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Salem Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41047002002 · Marion County, OR · pop 5,075 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Salem

Census tract 41047002002 runs through Salem. With 5,075 residents, it scores 6.3/10 for landlords. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,598 a month while the average household earns $105,618 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 15% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,133
Renter share29.8%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$105,618

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 40 tracts In Salem
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Low
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#551 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Moderate
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,735 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.8730, -123.0096 · click any tract to drill in

Why Salem scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,598 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Salem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Salem risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 002002Salem: 7.37.3Salemparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Salem

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Marion County average of 6.2 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047002002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047002002?

Census tract 41047002002 in Salem scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047002002?

Median gross rent is $1,598/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047002002?

5.7% of residents in tract 41047002002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,075.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047002002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 73th, minority 37th, housing 60th.
Q5

How does tract 41047002002 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047002002 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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