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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Salem Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41047002304 · Marion County, OR · pop 6,547 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Salem

With a score of 5/10, tract 41047002304 in Salem, OR reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,547 residents. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 10% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,715
Renter share26.7%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$107,386

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 40 tracts In Salem
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#51 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Low
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#761 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Low
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.8640, -123.0409 · click any tract to drill in

Why Salem scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,286 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Salem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Salem risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0023046.4Salemparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 443Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 4.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.3%Peak (2005)
  • 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41047002304
Filings climbed 78% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Salem

Against Marion County at 48.4%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Marion County average of 6.0.

Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 443 evictions over 16 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 8.3% of renter households. At $1,286 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Salem commands.

In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $107,386, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047002304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047002304?

Census tract 41047002304 in Salem scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047002304?

Median gross rent is $1,286/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047002304?

6.4% of residents in tract 41047002304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,547.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047002304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 73th, minority 35th, housing 78th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047002304?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 443 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047002304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.17% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 41047002304 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047002304 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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