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Census Tract · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Salem Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 41047002400 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,522 · 44% of tract blocks fall in Salem

Census tract 41047002400 runs through Salem. With 4,522 residents, it scores 6.2/10 for landlords. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,480 a month against an average household income of $130,372 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 7% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,663
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$130,372

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 40 tracts In Salem
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#51 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#716 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Low
National
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#44,543 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.8809, -123.1098 · click any tract to drill in

Why Salem scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,480 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Salem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Salem risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 002400Salem: 7.37.3Salemparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 65Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 2.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.2%Peak (2012)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470024002000: 1 filings (0.76/100 renter HHs)2001: 1 filings (0.76/100 renter HHs)2002: 2 filings (1.52/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2006: 3 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2007: 8 filings (3.43/100 renter HHs)2008: 6 filings (2.58/100 renter HHs)2009: 3 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (1.91/100 renter HHs)2011: 7 filings (3.95/100 renter HHs)2012: 11 filings (6.21/100 renter HHs)2013: 3 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2014: 3 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 300% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Salem

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Marion County average of 6.2 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 65 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.2% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047002400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047002400?

Census tract 41047002400 in Salem scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047002400?

Median gross rent is $1,480/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047002400?

2.5% of residents in tract 41047002400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,522.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047002400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 59th, minority 40th, housing 27th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047002400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047002400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.15% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 41047002400 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047002400 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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