Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Arleta Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051000402 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,556 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 6.9/10, tract 41051000402 in the Arleta area of Portland, OR reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,556 residents. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,576
Renter share29.7%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$97,348
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4832, -122.6041 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arleta scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,806 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Arleta compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 51%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 213Total filings over 16 yrs
- 3.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2005)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 74% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 80Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.11×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arleta. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arleta
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 213 filings here across 16 tracked years. At $1,806 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Portland commands.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 5.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051000402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000402?
Census tract 41051000402 in the Arleta neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051000402?
Median gross rent is $1,806/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000402?
6.3% of residents in tract 41051000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,556.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 10th, minority 33th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 41051000402 considered part of Arleta?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000402 fall within Arleta (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051000402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 213 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051000402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.27% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051000402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.11× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051000402 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051000402 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051000402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Wilkes
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Roseway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Ladd's Addition
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gilbert
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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